Obama Continues to Drop in Polls, Opening Up Senate Races in 2014

By:  Bob Adelmann
Obama Continues to Drop in Polls, Opening Up Senate Races in 2014

Early estimates of nine Senate races in 2014 show that Obama's falling poll numbers are helping Republicans.

President Obama’s luster as leader of the Democrat party continues to fade as one poll after another shows declining ratings in the areas of competence and trust. The latest Quinnipiac poll taken among Ohio voters, which was released on Wednesday, showed his job approval rating there dropping to the lowest in any Quinnipiac University poll nationally or in any state. Said Peter Brown, the poll’s assistant director:

President Barack Obama's popularity is at a record low in Ohio and the first time his approval rating has fallen below 40 percent in the state. This is a state considered to be a national bellwether where he got 51 percent of the vote just 12 months ago. Only 30 percent of men, 38 percent of women and 27 percent of white voters, along with 83 percent of black voters, give him a thumbs up.

Clearly much of the reason for the president's decline in Ohio is “Obamacare.” Ohio voters oppose the Affordable Care Act 59 - 35 percent. Perhaps more significantly, voters say 45 - 16 percent they expect their own health care to be worse rather than better a year from now.

If voters still feel that way about their own situation come November 2014, that is likely to create a political playing field beneficial for Republicans. Voters still blame the Republicans more for the government shutdown, but that issue's salience is being dwarfed by the opposition to “Obamacare.”

This poll is no fluke. The CNN/ORC poll released on Monday found that 53 percent of those polled said that the president is not honest or trustworthy, the first time a clear majority now holds that opinion of the president. A remarkable 56 percent said that they did not “admire” Obama, they disagreed with him on major issues, and that the president didn’t “inspire confidence” in them.

A poll by Gallup showed Obama’s overall job rating falling four points from September, from 45 percent to 41 percent. A poll by ABC News/Washington Post showed his disapproval rating spiking to 55 percent, the highest level on record since 2009. The president’s job approval rating summary provided by RealClearPolitics.com confirms these results, with more than a 15-point spread between those approving (40 percent) and those disapproving (55.4 percent).

Unless the president reverses this course toward increasing distrust and credibility, those hoping to ride his coattails into the November 2014 elections may be in for great disappointments. 

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